| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 118, 2019
2019 4th International Conference on Advances in Energy and Environment Research (ICAEER 2019)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 02050 | |
| Number of page(s) | 6 | |
| Section | Energy Equipment and Application | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201911802050 | |
| Published online | 04 October 2019 | |
Short-term Load Forecasting Model Considering Meteorological Factors
China Southern Power Grid Energy Development Research Institute Co., Ltd., 510000 Guangzhou, China
Because of the limitation of basic data and processing methods, the traditional load characteristic analysis method can not achieve user-level refined prediction. This paper builds a user-level short-term load forecasting model based on algorithms such as decision trees and neural networks in big data technology. Firstly, based on the grey relational analysis method, the influence of meteorological factors on load characteristics is quantitatively analyzed. The key factors are selected as input vectors of decision tree algorithm. This paper builds a category label for each daily load curve after clustering the user’s historical load data. The decision tree algorithm is used to establish classification rules and classify the days to be predicted. Finally, Elman neural network is used to predict the short-term load of a user, and the validity of the model is verified.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2019
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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