An Empirical Study on the Trade Impact of Cross border E-commerce on ASEAN and China under the Framework of RECP

School of International Business, Tianjin Foreign Studies University, Tianjin, 300204, China

^* Corresponding author’s e-mail: wgh@tjfsu.edu.cn

Abstract

As an indispensable part of future global trade, the cross-border e-commerce will change the form and volume of the current global trade with globalization. Taking China and ten ASEAN countries as the research object, this paper empirically tests whether the cross-border e-commerce under the RCEP framework will affect the trade scale between China and ten ASEAN countries through the trade gravity model. As the research suggests, the impact of GDP and the Internet popularity on the trade scale of different ASEAN countries and China is not the same. Malaysia, Vietnam, Singapore, Thailand and other countries have larger trade volume with China due to economic factor, Internet, geographical location and other factors, while Brunei and Laos, which are closer to China with smaller economic volume, have more obvious shortcomings and are less related to the trade with China.