Forecasting the development of renewable national energy in the tourism sector of Ukraine

¹ National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine
² Kyiv National University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Kyiv, Ukraine

^* Corresponding author: zstefv@gmail.com

Abstract

The article is devoted to a systematic review of modern trends in the use of renewable energy sources and their impact on the country's energy system. The basis of the analysis is the assessment of the degree of technological maturity of renewable energy technologies, the effectiveness of their implementation in comparison with traditional energy sources. Thanks to the wide scope of the analysis, the article will make an important contribution to the understanding of the prospects and determinants of the effective implementation of renewable national energy in the context of modern energy challenges and can serve as a basis for further research in this area. This article employs Holt's method to construct predictive models for four key components of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in Ukraine - wind, solar, hydro, and biomass. Based on the forecasting results, the authors have determined the prospects for the development of renewable energy resources in Ukraine. The findings underscore the strategic importance of intensifying development efforts, attracting investments, and revisiting energy policies to align with global trends towards carbon-neutral economies. The results prompt recommendations for revising the Energy Strategy of Ukraine, and optimizing regulatory frameworks for effective energy service supervision. In light of these projections, the article emphasizes the need for proactive measures to ensure sustainable and environmentally friendly growth in Ukraine's renewable energy sector.