| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 561, 2024
The 8th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Materials Science (EEMS 2024)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 02007 | |
| Number of page(s) | 4 | |
| Section | Intelligent Environment Planning and Green Development | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202456102007 | |
| Published online | 09 August 2024 | |
Transition Pathways to Carbon Neutrality in China's Power System under Multi-Technology Development Scenarios
China Electric Power Planning & Engineering Institute, Beijing 100120, China
* Corresponding author’s e-mail: hrli@eppei.com
This study uses the MESEIC model to design three scenarios of low, middle, and high electricity demand, and three development scenarios of electricity technologies to discuss the development paths of China's future power system to achieve carbon neutrality under different scenarios of electricity demand and electricity development. In the future, China's power system will shift to a new power system mainly based on renewable energy sources, but it is difficult to realize the complete phase-out of coal power under all development scenarios. Under the three scenarios, coal-fired power generation will decline to 0.72-4.11 trillion kWh in 2050, and its share will fall to 4.9%-30.3%. Coal power generation will peak in the 2025-2030 period, except for the high electricity demand, and negative emission scenario (NE-F) for fossil power generation.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2024
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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