Modeling the Influence of Weather and Climatic Conditions on the Safety Characteristics of the Construction Process

¹ Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Stremyanny per., 36, Moscow, 117997, Russia
² Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Pamplin Hall, Suite 3007, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
³ Moscow State University of Civil Engineering, Yaroslavskoe shosse 26, Moscow, 129337, Russia
⁴ V.A. Trapeznikov Instutute of Control Sciences of Russian Academy of Sciences, st.Profsouznaya, 65, Moscow, 117997, Russia

^* Corresponding author: manrus@mail.ru, reza@vt.edu

Abstract

This study investigates the influence of climatic conditions on the performance of the construction process and the characteristics of the elements of the construction process: construction machines, workers, the estimated cost of construction, and the reliability of construction deadlines. As an integral indicator of weather and climatic conditions, the indicator of “weather hardness” was chosen. The method of simulation modeling with its ability to generate random numbers with the given parameters is chosen as a mathematical model on a computer. The aim of the study is to identify the regression and correlation relationships between the indicators of weather hardness and the corresponding indicators of the elements of the construction process: the Fund for working time of workers, the coefficient of technical readiness of construction equipment, increasing the estimated cost of construction, increasing labor costs for the re-installation of construction equipment, identification of additional costs by types of work, for all the stated dependencies, regression equations are obtained. The results are presented in graphical form, and the results show that the proposed simulation model of the impact of weather and climatic conditions on the characteristics of the construction process allows to optimize management decisions, and reduce construction risks, reduce the estimated cost of construction.