A priori estimates of the mass of the burnt materials in rooms of buildings in the integral mathematical model of the initial stage of the fire

Orenburg State Agrarian University, Institute of Risk Management and Complex Safety, Chelyuskintsev str., 18, 460014 Orenburg, Russia

Abstract

The integral mathematical model of the initial stage of a fire in the premises of buildings focuses on the problem of estimating the mass of burnt materials assuming that the data on the rate of combustion of combustible materials are not complete. A priori estimates of the mass of burnt materials are found, which do not use data on the combustible material combustion rate. To derive these estimates, a special representation of the modulus of the increment (fall) of oxygen density in a room with a fire in the initial stage was preliminarily found. Two approaches to the derivation of a priori estimates of the mass of burnt materials have been implemented - using the upper and lower estimates of the modulus of the increment (fall) of the oxygen density. A comparison of a priori estimates obtained with different approaches is performed. Research can be useful at assessment of ecological situation and consequences of the fire.