Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 371, 2023
International Scientific Conference “Fundamental and Applied Scientific Research in the Development of Agriculture in the Far East” (AFE-2022)
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Article Number | 02007 | |
Number of page(s) | 8 | |
Section | Innovations in Energy Efficiency for Buildings and Structures | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202337102007 | |
Published online | 28 February 2023 |
Changes in temperature regime of soil in cryolithozone considering climate warming
1 Russian Academy of Architecture and Construction Sciences (RAAСS), 127025 Moscow, Russia
2 National Research Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (NRU MGSU), 129337 Moscow, Russia
3 Scientific-Research Institute of Building Physics of the Russian Academy of Architecture and Construction Sciences (NIISF RAAСS), 127238 Moscow, Russia
* Corresponding author: n.s.nikiforova@mail.ru
The current climate change in Russia is characterized as continuing warming. There is an increase of the deformity and accident rate for buildings located in the cryolithozone. It is necessary to identify regions that in the future will be most susceptible to the permafrost degradation and associated risks for existing buildings and structures, which require considering climate warming in the forecast estimates. The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of climate warming on the temperature regime of the soils of the Norilsk district. Numerical modeling of the temperature variation of soil considering air temperature increase according to the regional climate model of the Voeikov MGO on 60 years showed temperature rise of permafrost, lowering its top and increasing the thickness of the seasonally thawed layer. The warming of the climate in the area will have a significant impact on the temperature regime of the soil and will lead to a violation of the operational suitability of existing buildings and structures. In the Norilsk region climate warming should be regarded as a significant accident occurrence factor, which should be considered when calculating the bases in the cryolithozone for the entire period of construction and operation of facilities.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2023
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