The Role of the Butterfly Effect in Oil and Gas and Environmental Impact

¹ Branch of Russian State University of Oil and Gas (NRU) named after I.M. Gubkin in Tashkent city, Department of Social and Humanitarian Disciplines, 100125 Durmon Yuli str. 34, Republic of Uzbekistan
² Branch of Russian State University of Oil and Gas (NRU) named after I.M. Gubkin in Tashkent city, Oil and Gas Drilling Department, 100125 Durmon Yuli str. 34, Republic of Uzbekistan
³ “Tashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers” National Research University, 100000 Tashkent, Uzbekistan

^* Corresponding author: sh.namazova12@gmail.com

Abstract

This study is devoted to analyzing the influence of the butterfly effect on accidents in the oil and gas industry and their consequences for the environment. The butterfly effect, which implies that small changes in a system can lead to significant and unpredictable consequences, plays a key role in the occurrence of catastrophic events in the industry. The study analyzes six major accidents, namely Exxon Valdez (1989), Deepwater Horizon (2010), Piper Alpha (1988), Prestige (2002), Kuwaiti Oil Fires (1991), and BP Texas City Refinery (2005). The cause-and-effect relationships leading to the accidents are identified and their environmental impacts, including water and soil contamination, marine animal mortality, biodiversity decline, and long-term economic losses are assessed. The results show that many accidents could have been prevented with stricter safety standards and the use of modern monitoring and warning technologies. Recommendations include strengthening international standards, implementing automated warning systems, improving personnel skills and creating a safety culture. This study highlights the need to further improve measures to prevent accidents and minimize their environmental impact, and to direct future research towards the development of new monitoring and prevention technologies and methods.