| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 703, 2026
V International Conference on Ensuring Sustainable Development: Ecology, Earth Science, Energy and Agriculture (AEES2025)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 01008 | |
| Number of page(s) | 8 | |
| Section | Ecology, Biodiversity and Ways of its Conservation | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202670301008 | |
| Published online | 09 April 2026 | |
Forecast of the evolution of agro- and bioclimatic resources in northwestern Russia based on the results of climate modeling
1 Russian State Hydrometeorological University, 79, Voronezhskaya str., St. Petersburg, 192007, Russia
2 Saint Petersburg State University, 7-9, Universitetskaya Embankment, St Petersburg, 199034, Russia
3 Saint Petersburg State Marine Technical University, 3, Lotsmanskaya str., St. Petersburg, 190121, Russia
* Corresponding author: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Abstract
This study analyzes the future evolution of agro- and bioclimatic resources in northwestern Russia against the backdrop of global warming. In order to assess the future evolution of the parameters under study, the current characteristics of thermal resources, precipitation regime, moisture supply resources and agroclimatic potential were preliminarily studied. It substantiates a methodology for selecting an optimal climate model for forecasting air temperature and precipitation for six settlements, which are used to calculate agro- and bioclimatic resources. The historical evolution and dynamics of meteorological and agroclimatic characteristics are determined for three averaging periods within a historical experiment. Future estimates of agro- and bioclimatic resources through the end of the 21st century are provided.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2026
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