| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 710, 2026
54th AiCARR International Congress “Decarbonising our Future: Energy, Economic and Social Aspects of Smarter and Digitalized Buildings and Cities”
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 08003 | |
| Number of page(s) | 9 | |
| Section | New and Smart Tools for Design and Management of Efficient Buildings and Plants | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202671008003 | |
| Published online | 07 May 2026 | |
The construction of a forecast Meteorological Year for the city of Milan: Impact on building design and energy performance
1 Department of Engineering & Science, Universitas Mercatorum, 00186 Roma (IT)
2 Studio Cigolotti, 28100 Novara (IT)
3 Municipality of Milan, 20121 Milano (IT)
4 Studio 3F-engineering, 37036 San Martino Buon Albergo (IT)
* Corresponding author: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Abstract
The construction of a typical climate year based on CMIP6 data represents an innovative approach to assess the effects of climate change on the energy performance of buildings. The method integrates global climate models with downscaling and bias-correction techniques, allowing the generation of hourly series consistent with future projections and more representative of expected operating conditions than traditional TMYs. The procedure involves selecting CMIP6 models related to the SSP 3-7.0 scenario for the area of interest, reconstructing the main meteorological parameters, and assembling a climate file useful for dynamic simulations and comfort analyses. The article presents a case study dedicated to the climate of Milan, a city particularly sensitive to urban heat islands and summer heat waves, with the aim of assessing the expected variation in thermal loads, consumption, and comfort indicators. The results show how a typical year based on future climate conditions can support adaptation strategies, more resilient design choices, and urban energy planning consistent with decarbonization objectives.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2026
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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