Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 17, 2017
9th Conference on Interdisciplinary Problems in Environmental Protection and Engineering EKO-DOK 2017
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Article Number | 00049 | |
Number of page(s) | 8 | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20171700049 | |
Published online | 24 May 2017 |
Prediction of Availability Indicator of Water Pipes Using Artificial Intelligence
Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Wyb. Wyspiańskiego 27, 50-370 Wroclaw, Poland
* Corresponding author: malgorzata.kutylowska@pwr.edu.pl
The paper presents the results of artificial neural networks application to the availability indicator prediction. The forecasted results indicate that artificial networks may be used to model the reliability level of the water supply systems. The network was trained using 147 and 173 operational data from one Polish medium-sized city (distribution pipes and house connections, respectively). 50% of all data was chosen for learning, 25% for testing and 25% for validation. In prognosis phase, the best created network used 100% of 114 and 133 values for testing. Following functions were used to activate neurons in hidden and output layers: linear, logistic, hyperbolic tangent, exponential. The learning of the artificial network was performed using following input parameters: material, total length, diameter. In the optimal models hyperbolic tangent was chosen to activate the hidden and output neurons in modeling the availability indicator of house connections during 68 epochs of training. Hidden and output neurons were activated (20 epochs of learning) respectively by hyperbolic tangent and linear function during the prediction of availability indicator of distribution pipes. The maximum relative errors in learning and prognosis step were equal to 0.10% and 1.20% as well as 0.27% and 1.15% for distribution pipes and house connections, respectively.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2017
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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