Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 61, 2018
International Conference on Renewable Energy (ICREN 2018)
|
|
---|---|---|
Article Number | 00010 | |
Number of page(s) | 6 | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20186100010 | |
Published online | 31 October 2018 |
Nowcasting the Output Power of PV Systems
1 Faculty of Physics, West University of Timisoara, V Parvan 4, 300223 Timisoara, Romania
2 Department of Physical Foundations of Engineering, Politehnica University Timisoara, V Parvan 2, 300223 Timisoara, Romania
3 Electronics and Telecommunications Faculty, Politehnica University Timisoara, V Parvan 2, 300223 Timisoara, Romania
* Corresponding author: marius.paulescu@e-uvt.ro
This paper presents an innovative procedure for nowcasting the energy production of PV systems. The procedure is relayed on a new version of two-state model for forecasting solar irradiance at ground level and a simplified description of the PV system. The results of testing the proposed procedure against on field measured data are discussed. Generally, the proposed procedure demonstrates a better performance than the main competitor based on ARIMA forecasting of the clearness index.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2018
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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