E3S Web Conf.
Volume 100, 201911th Conference on Interdisciplinary Problems in Environmental Protection and Engineering EKO-DOK 2019
|Number of page(s)||8|
|Published online||10 June 2019|
Forecasting water consumption in towns of different sizes
1 AGH University, 30-001 Cracow, Poland
2 Nicolaus Copernicus University, 87-100 Toruń, Poland
* Corresponding author: firstname.lastname@example.org
The aim of the work was to compare water consumption forecasting in two towns of different sizes. The objects of research were the town of Toruń and the town of Żnin in central Poland. Two models were built for each. The models were constructed using the multiple regression method. In constructing the models, explanatory variables determined by Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were used. The set of explanatory variables identified to construct each individual model differed. The models for Toruń obtained better forecast quality assessment criteria values. This was mainly due to the water supply system in the small town (Żnin) being less resilient to sudden, short-term changes in consumers’ water use. At the same time, the importance of the location of the meteorological stations from which data was taken to build the model was emphasised.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2019
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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