Influence of climate changes on filling loss dynamics (a case study from the Republic of Bashkortostan)

¹ Ufa State Aviation Technical University, K. Marx Street, 12, Ufa, 450000, Russia
² University of Salerno, Via Giovanni Paolo II, 132 – 84084, Fisciano (SA), Italy
³ Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina Street, 3, Moscow, 119333, Russia

^* Corresponding author: elizariev@mail.ru

Abstract

On the example of Republic of Bashkortostan, the study of the influence of climate changes on the dynamics of filling loss (big breathing) was carried out. The analysis of the homogeneity of the time series of the average annual air temperature allowed us to obtain periods in which the values of the average annual temperatures are unchanged. For the found periods, the values of losses from big breathing are calculated. The influence of climate change is shown by comparing the results of calculations of the values of big breathing in the first and last homogeneous time periods. Similarly, the influence of climate change on the seasonal values of big breathing in the period from 1950 to 2018 is shown. The results of the study showed that climate changes lead to an increase in the volume of filling loss throughout the Republic of Bashkortostan (by more than 3%). Seasonal losses are also increasing. The maximum growth is observed in winter. Changes in climate conditions lead to an increase in the risk of explosive situations due to filling loss, and an increase in the level of environmental pollution.