| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 216, 2020
Rudenko International Conference “Methodological problems in reliability study of large energy systems” (RSES 2020)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 01101 | |
| Number of page(s) | 5 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202021601101 | |
| Published online | 14 December 2020 | |
The long-term forecasting of specific fuel consumption by the power system of Uzbekistan
Joint-stock company «National electric networks of Uzbekistan», National Dispatch Center, Istiklol – 6, Tashkent 100000, Uzbekistan
* Corresponding author: d.losev@gubkin.uz
The article considers the possibility of using the least squares method (LSM) for long-term forecasting of the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. There is presented least squares method for predicting the parameters of the regime of electric power systems. It is shown that, based on the least-squares method, it is possible to obtain prognostic equations, as well as coefficients of approximating functions necessary for the formation of these equations. The results of the analysis of the comparison of linear, hyperbolic, logarithmic, exponential and quadratic functions on the use of LSMs to predict specific fuel consumption are presented. The criterion of the least squares method, which is according for using the statistical data of the control sample in the obtained prognostic functions, the standard deviations are found.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2020
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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