| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 224, 2020
Topical Problems of Agriculture, Civil and Environmental Engineering (TPACEE 2020)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 03024 | |
| Number of page(s) | 7 | |
| Section | Green IT Engineering | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202022403024 | |
| Published online | 23 December 2020 | |
The cholera spread Simulation
1
Don State Technical University, 1, Gagarina sq., Rostov-on-Don, 344000, Russia
2
FKUZ “Rostov-on-Don Research Anti-Plague Institute”
* Corresponding author: baturinata@mail.ru
One of the frequently used modern epidemiological methods is the Simulation of disease spread. We used AnyLogic simulation. During the model construction, we take into account the specific cholera features. They are: the pathways of infection transmission, the course duration and the duration of the incubation (latent) period, the possibility of vaccination, etc.Two approaches are presented here: system-dynamic model and agentbased one. The system-dynamic model is used for strategic modelling of the epidemiological situation, it reflects the global trends. The agent-based approach allows describing the individual behaviour of each agent person, who independently form events conditioning transitions between states.Used together they make it possible to reflect different aspects of the epidemiological process development. The combination of these two models gives more possibilities for their application in a real situation: give the opportunity to impose tactical nuances on strategic modelling.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2020
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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