The Analysis of Potential Residential Area/Center Based on Residents’ Travel Behaviour and Planned Metro Stations

Real Estate Assessment Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518034, China

^* Corresponding author’s e-mail: luliu.wh@gmail.com

Abstract

Metro is of vital importance in public transportation system. Recent studies have examined the influence of metro systems by various methodologies. However, few of them has focused on the stations which are planned to be built or still being built. Therefore, this study intends to evaluate the future metro stations and map the potential urban residential center, based on analyzing the metro card data of the existing metro systems. Based on a case study in Shenzhen, China, we identified 21 residential hot stations and 13 working hot stations. Also, the results indicate that most passengers have a travel length between 5-14 stops, while each residential center has its specific working center. Moreover, when the housing price decrease 1598.3 RMB per square meters, residents may be willing to move to a place with one more stop commuting time. Finally, based on two criteria established by the riding behavior, 67 new stations are found to have the chance to be new residential centers in the city. The strategy proposed in this study can help urban planners to understand the possible influences of new metro stations and assist them to do the planning work in a more appropriate way.