Multidimensional forecasting of electricity sales in Hunan Province based on decomposition-integration ideas

¹ State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company Limited Economic & Technical Research Institute, Changsha 410004, China
² Hunan Key Laboratory of Energy Internet Supply-demand and Operation, Changsha 410004, China

^* Corresponding author: zhongy25@hn.sgcc.com.cn

Abstract

As the focus of power companies such as State Grid Corporation of China, electricity sales forecasting is closely related to the development of enterprises and the country. The importance of accurate electricity sales forecasting in the context of electricity reform has become more and more prominent. The article takes electricity sales in Hunan Province as the research object, and constructs a more complete monthly electricity sales forecasting system based on the decomposition-integration idea, correlating electricity sales impact factors, and combining quantitative and qualitative analyses by categories. The prediction results show that the electricity sales forecasting model proposed in this paper has a high prediction accuracy under the existing data capacity level.