Improving the methodology for predicting the yield of walnuts in farms based on econometric models

Tashkent State Agrarian University, 2, University str., 100140 Tashkent province, Uzbekistan

^* Corresponding author: ainobatov@mail.ru

Abstract

Agrarian reforms carried out in the agriculture of the republic, along with the development of production sectors, provide for the diversification of products, the development of new areas, as well as the expansion of previously unclaimed areas on the world market, but today the demand for which is growing. At the same time, the effective use of the opportunities of farms and family household plots is of great importance. Given the importance of the walnut, which is in high demand on the world market, one of the modern requirements is to further stimulate and increase the efficiency of the use of rain fed lands in the republic, the widespread introduction of scientifically based methods and intensive technologies for growing walnuts and the creation of modern walnut plantations with an increase in production competitive in the domestic and foreign markets for walnuts. In the course of a survey of farms and household plots of the district, it was noted that by placing new varieties of walnut, it is possible to obtain a good income, long-term return on investment, low cost. The article describes the results of research in important areas, based on the characteristics of the current stage of development of walnut cultivation in farms.