Analyzing the future of housing provision in a high-demographic growth region

¹ State Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education Kyrgyz-Russian Slavic University named after the First President of the Russian Federation B.N. Yeltsin, Kyiv st., 44, 720065, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic
² Kyrgyz State Technical University named after I.Razzakov, International Higher School of Logistics, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic
³ Urgench State University, Hamid Alimdjan Street, 14, 220100, Urgench, Uzbekistan

^* Corresponding author: aidaras73@mail.ru

Abstract

This scientific article aims to determine the level of security of Kyrgyzstan citizens with regard to housing until 2030. The study takes into account the historical period from 1990 to present, analyzing the development of the housing stock and demographic population. The objective of this research is to solve the problem of housing provision for the population of the republic through effective management of the state’s housing and demographic strategy. The study focuses on the interdependence of population growth factors and the dynamics of the housing stock in the village-city context, using a general scientific methodology for analysis. The article presents a correlation analysis and a predictive review of demographic and housing aspects, accounting for the interdependent dynamics of population and housing. The main results include a mutual influence analysis between demographic and housing dynamics, as well as a comparative forecast of demographic and housing parameters until 2030. The study provides recommendations for the Republican housing program “My Home” for 2021-2026. This research is important for the practical applicability and relevance of regional policy on housing and demographic issues.