Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 449, 2023
International Scientific and Practical Conference “Priority Directions of Complex Socio-Economic Development of the Region” (PDSED 2023)
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Article Number | 03003 | |
Number of page(s) | 11 | |
Section | Sustainable Socio-economic Development of the Region | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202344903003 | |
Published online | 16 November 2023 |
Forecasting the prospects for the development of regional small business
Termez State University, Barkamol Avlod, 43, 190111, Termez, Uzbekistan
* Corresponding author: saodattoshalieva2004@mail.ru
Small business is an integral part of the region’s economy, and without its participation it is impossible to imagine the development of the region’s economy. Small business, with its mobility and wide coverage, contributes to the sustainable and sustainable development of the region’s economy. The relevance of the topic under study is due to the need to assess the impact of small business activities on regional socio-economic development. The purpose of the study is to analyze on the basis of ionometric modeling the state of future phenomena and processes in the activities of small businesses in Surkhandarya region. To achieve this goal, the methods of statistical and econometric analysis were used in the article, in which, based on indicators representing the development of small entrepreneurship, GRP, as well as the Arima model (an autoregressive econometric model integrated into the moving average of the gretl software package), the relationship between effective and factor indicators in quantitative and qualitative forecasting of proposals and recommendations is analyzed.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2023
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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