| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 502, 2024
2nd International Congress on Coastal Research (ICCR 2023)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 01006 | |
| Number of page(s) | 5 | |
| Section | Oceanography, Coastal Ecology and Resources | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202450201006 | |
| Published online | 11 March 2024 | |
Fluctuations in extreme temperatures in northern Morocco and the impact of climate change: Contribution of the Regional Climate Model (RegCM)
1 Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques of Tangier (FSTT), Abdelmalek Essaadi University (UAE), Morocco
2 General Direction of Meteorology, Morocco
* Corresponding author: tahri.ayoub@etu.uae.ac.ma
In this study, we use the RegCM4.6 regional climate model to simulate extreme air temperatures in northern Morocco, with a focus on the Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima (TTA) region. In pursuit of this, we evaluate its performance by comparing its simulations with CRU observational data and HadGEM2-ES historical simulations over 35 years for the purpose of predicting future temperature evolution by the end of the century in the region using the validated RegCM4.6 model. The results show a slight underestimation of temperatures compared to observations, with a preference for the RegCM4.6 model over HadGEM2-ES. Projections indicate a mean temperature increase of 2°C (RCP4.5) to 4.62°C (RCP8.5) by 2099, highlighting the need for regional adaptation strategies.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2024
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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