Elevating Extreme Weather Forecasting Precision Through the NEMY Generation Framework

Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

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Abstract

This paper presents an innovative methodology known as New Extreme Meteorological Years (NEMY) for comprehensively understanding extreme weather patterns. In contrast to conventional approaches, NEMY meticulously accounts for meteorological parameters, their respective weights, and explores critical factors such as intensity, duration, and the establishment of dynamic thresholds. This dynamic and adaptable framework facilitates precise simulations of extreme weather conditions. In an era characterized by climate change, where preparedness and mitigation of extreme weather impacts are imperative, this research holds paramount significance. The heart of this study revolves around the development and examination of the NEMY framework, which significantly enhances the accuracy in simulating extreme weather scenarios. It is worth emphasizing that, within the context of this paper, the consideration of both the intensity and duration of extreme weather events, as well as the meticulous discussion on the establishment of dynamic thresholds, are central to our approach. The importance of this framework extends beyond meteorology, with practical implications for assessing wind and solar energy resources. This paper not only outlines the methodology of NEMY but also vividly discusses the critical aspects of accounting for the intensity and duration of extreme weather events, as well as the nuanced process of dynamically setting thresholds. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of NEMY in energy assessment, thereby contributing significantly to the global energy revolution. Additionally, it underscores the urgency of climate change adaptation and mitigation. The subsequent sections delve deeper into the NEMY framework’s design, testing, and potential applications, with a particular focus on the intricate considerations of extreme weather event intensity, duration, and dynamic threshold establishment.