Modeling of cash flows from foreign economic activity: Scenario analysis

¹ Bauman Moscow State Technical University (National Research University), Faculty of Engineering Business and Management, Department of Finance, Moscow, Russia
² Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Faculty of Information Technology and Big Data Analysis, Department of Information Security, Moscow, Russia

^* Corresponding author: kostyrinev@bmstu.ru

Abstract

The prerequisite for the scientific research on this topic is the need to form an economic-mathematical model that would make it possible to predict and simulate the financial flow of the company to provide construction services in time. The aim of the scientific article is to carry out economic and mathematical modeling of the financial flow for the provision of services in time on the example of the project of the company “STROITEL12” JSC. In the demonstrated example, the situation was considered, in which the organization performed design work for 2 years and construction work for 4 years in a foreign country in the framework of the creation of the subway (station + track + station improvement) in Turkey, in the city of Izmir. According to Rosstat, the forecast inflation rate amounted to 5%. The implementation of this project led to the fact that the staff of “STROITEL12” received a reward for the completion of the project ahead of schedule. After the application of the economic-mathematical model in the formation of the financial flow, the employees of the company were more diligent to their work, as their salaries increased. The novelty of scientific research is the application of economic-mathematical model for modeling the cash flows from foreign economic activity of the organization.