Issue |
E3S Web of Conf.
Volume 415, 2023
8th International Conference on Debris Flow Hazard Mitigation (DFHM8)
|
|
---|---|---|
Article Number | 07005 | |
Number of page(s) | 4 | |
Section | Needs of End Users | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202341507005 | |
Published online | 18 August 2023 |
Debris-flow risk-to-life: Upper-bound preliminary screening
1 University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800 Christchurch 8140, New Zealand
2 Scion, PO Box 29237, Riccarton, Christchurch 8440, New Zealand
* Corresponding author: tim.davies@canterbury.ac.nz
Where the potential for future debris-flow occurrence is unrecognised, developments can be unknowingly exposed to debris-flow impact, with corresponding risks to lives. Debris-flow modelling is unsuited to routine local office use, so a simple screening procedure is proposed to enable local officials to identify locations where debris flow risk-to-life may be unacceptable, and prioritise where expert modelling and risk analysis are most urgently required for risk-management decision-making . This procedure calculates catchment Melton ratio R from topographic data, uses a linear upper bound of field data relating R to the annual probability of debris-flow occurrence, and matches a model-based debris-flow risk-to-life analysis for Matata, New Zealand. Our data suggest that any development exposed to debris flows will require a detailed risk assessment to ensure that risk-to-life does not exceed acceptable levels.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2023
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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