Development of a simulation model for the development of socio-ecological-economic systems in the process of making innovative decisions

¹ Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. Morozov, 394087 Voronezh, Russia
² Voronezh Institute of Economics and Law, 394033 Voronezh, Russia

^* Corresponding author: iris1982@yandex.ru

Abstract

The article presents market indicators that have the most significant impact on the development of socio-ecological-economic systems in the process of making innovative decisions. When developing recommendations for the use of models, a detailed analysis of the modeling results and its practical significance for assessing the performance of socio-ecological-economic systems is provided. A structural and logical model of the system is proposed that ensures the consistency of goals, plans, tools, budgets, indicators and results of implementing strategic changes in the process of its long-term development. The study and assessment of socio-ecological and economic indicators is proposed to be carried out using methods of simulation modeling and statistical data analysis. The article presents developed multifactor statistical models that determine the type and strength of relationships between indicators of socio-economic development of systems, as well as a simulation model that allows assessing the dynamics of these indicators. The proposed model apparatus for managing the competitive development of a system ensures that the indicators that shape its development are taken into account and allows, based on modeling of various economic situations, to analyze the state of the system and optimize the behavior of its subjects. A new approach to simulation modeling of infrastructure facilities is proposed. The tools developed within the framework of the approach for preparing and conducting large-scale experiments in a heterogeneous computing environment are based on a microservice architecture.