| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 100, 2019
11th Conference on Interdisciplinary Problems in Environmental Protection and Engineering EKO-DOK 2019
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 00041 | |
| Number of page(s) | 8 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201910000041 | |
| Published online | 10 June 2019 | |
Comparison of daily flows simulated for the year 2060 on the Kaczawa River for various scenarios of climate change by simple time series analysis
1 Wroclaw University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics, ul. Grunwaldzka 55, 50-357, Wroclaw, Poland
2 Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, ul. Parkowa 30, 51-616, Wroclaw, Poland
* Corresponding author: leszek.kuchar@upwr.edu.pl
In this paper a time series analysis for daily flow simulations according three climate change scenario for Kaczawa River a left side tributary of the Odra River in south-west Poland is presented. The flow sequences were simulated using the hydrological model MIKE SHE and the spatial SWGEN meteorological data generator. Meteorological data for the hydrological model were generated based on data from 24 meteorological stations and 35-year daily data from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management of the National Research Institute (IMGW). Data were generated for future climate condition for 2060 according GISS Model E, HadCM3, and GFDL R15 scenarios as well for the present conditions. The year 2000 was used as a reference year. The results obtained on the basis of a simple time series analysis point to small changes in flows for current and simulated conditions for 2060 for the Kaczawa River.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2019
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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