| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 470, 2023
IVth International Conference “Energy Systems Research” (ESR-2023)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 01046 | |
| Number of page(s) | 6 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202347001046 | |
| Published online | 21 December 2023 | |
Thresholds of energy security metrics: their purpose and assessment techniques
Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 664033 Lermontov St., 130, Irkutsk, Russia
* Corresponding author: kononov@isem.irk.ru
The study discusses the issue of enhancing the validity of projections of energy sector development by properly accounting for the effect of available options on energy security. To this end, it is possible to use a single overall index that measures the degree of deviation of individual energy security metrics from their threshold values. We detail different ways of calculating maximum allowable values of individual metrics. The study also provides the results of modeled calculations. We argue that any indicator-based analysis of thresholds should be preceded by an assessment of strategic energy security threats and identification of the stability range for the dynamics of key projected indicators.
Key words: energy security / energy sector / projections / threshold values
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2023
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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