Econometric model of the effective activity of the enterprise

Northern Trans-Ural State Agricultural University, Republic St., 7, 625003, Tyumen, Russia

^* Corresponding author: yakobyukli@gausz.ru

Abstract

In modern conditions of globalization and growing economic instability, many enterprises cannot withstand competition and find themselves in a state of crisis. In order to carry out successful trading activities, there is a growing demand for reliable information about the future development of the organization, and therefore the most urgent problem of any enterprise is its financial stability. Using the example of an enterprise with a registered form of a limited liability company, the authors considered the assessment and analysis of the stability of the enterprise's development in order to confirm the future prospects of its functioning in the Russian markets. With the help of basic methodological approaches and principles of using the apparatus of econometric modeling and analysis of economic phenomena and processes, an assessment of the state of efficiency of a limited liability company is considered and a forecast of the development of economic phenomena and processes is made, which is an urgent task. The problem at this point in time. As a result of our research, we have determined a linear model of the dependence of indicators such as profit and cost of sales, which is statistically significant with a probability of 95% and allows us to predict the profit of a limited liability company. A comprehensive assessment of the financial condition of the company allowed us to formulate conclusions and proposals to improve the efficiency of the company.