Surface water flood risk and management strategies for London: An Agent-Based Model approach

Katie Jenkins; Swenja Surminski; Jim Hall; Florence Crick

doi:10.1051/e3sconf/20160722003

All issues

Volume 7 (2016)

E3S Web Conf., 7 (2016) 22003

References

Open Access

Issue		E3S Web Conf. Volume 7, 2016 3^rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management (FLOODrisk 2016)


Article Number		22003
Number of page(s)		10
Section		Residual risk and insurance
DOI		https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160722003
Published online		20 October 2016

Falconer, R. H., Cobby, D., Smyth, P., Astle, G., Dent, J., and Golding, B. (2009). Pluvial flooding: new approaches in flood warning, mapping and risk management. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2(3), 198–208. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
Environment Agency. (2010). The costs of the summer 2007 floods in England. Environment Agency, Bristol. [Google Scholar]
Pitt, M. (2008). Learning Lessons from the 2007 Floods, The Pitt Review. Cabinet Office, London. [Google Scholar]
European Water Association. (2009). EWA Expert Meeting on Pluvial Flooding in Europe, Final Report. EWA, Brussels, Belgium. [Google Scholar]
IPCC (Ed.). (2013). Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Vol. 1). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [Google Scholar]
Ramsbottom, D., Sayers, P. and Panzeri, M. (2012). Climate Change Risk Assessment for the Floods and Coastal Erosion Sector. UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]
Adaptation Sub-Committee. (2012). Climate Change -Is the UK preparing for flooding and water scarcity? Committee on Climate Change, London. [Google Scholar]
Houston, D., Werritty, A., Bassett, D., Geddes, A., Hoolachan, A., and McMillan, M. (2011). Pluvial (rain-related) flooding in urban areas: the invisible hazard. Joseph Rowntree Foundation. [Google Scholar]
Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J., and Crick, F. (2016). Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: an agent-based model approach. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper No.252; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper No.223. [Google Scholar]
Surminski, S. and Eldridge, J. (2015). Flood insurance in England–an assessment of the current and newly proposed insurance scheme in the context of rising flood risk. Journal of Flood Risk Management. DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12127. [Google Scholar]
Defra. (2013). Securing the future availability and affordability of home insurance in areas of flood risk. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]
Greater London Authority. (2011). The London Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]
Greater London Authority. (2014). Flood risks in London: Summary of findings. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]
Wallingford., HR (2012). Development of spatial indicators to monitor changes in exposure and vulnerability to flooding and the uptake of adaptation actions to manage flood risk in England: Results 2012. HR Wallingford Ltd, Oxfordshire. [Google Scholar]
Greater London Authority. (2015). London datastore http://data.london.gov.uk/. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]
Drain London. (2011). Surface Water Management Plan: London Borough of Camden. Camden Council. [Google Scholar]
van Dam, K.H., Nikolic, I. and Lukszo, Z. (2012). Agent-based modelling of socio-technical systems. Springer Netherlands, p. 268. [Google Scholar]
Dubbelboer, J., Nikolic, I., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J. (2016). An Agent-Based Model of Flood Risk and Insurance. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, In Review. [Google Scholar]
Hall, J.W., Dawson, R.J., Sayers, P.B., Rosu, C., Chatterton, J.B. and Deakin, R. (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Water & Maritime Engineering 156, 235–247. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
Dawson, R.J., Ball, T., Werritty, J., Werritty, A., Hall, J.W. and Roche, N. (2011). Assessing the effectiveness of non-structural flood management measures in the Thames Estuary under conditions of socio-economic and environmental change. Global Environmental Change 21, 628–646. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V. and Kilsby, C. (2016). A probabilistic analysis of surface water flood risk and management options in Greater London. Journal of Risk Analysis. In Review. [Google Scholar]
Sayers, P.B., Horritt, M., Penning-Rowsell, E., and McKenzie, A. (2015). Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017: Projections of future flood risk in the UK. Research undertaken by Sayers and Partners on behalf of the Committee on Climate Change. Committee on Climate Change, London. [Google Scholar]
Defra. (2011). Commencement of the Flood and Water Management Act 2010, Schedule 3 for Sustainable Drainage: Impact Assessment. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]
Harries, T. (2012). The anticipated emotional consequences of adaptive behaviour -impacts on the take-up of household flood-protection measures. Environment and Planning A, 44(3), 649–668. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
Filatova, T. (2015). Empirical agent-based land market: Integrating adaptive economic behavior in urban land-use models. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 54, 397–413. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]
Flood Re. (2016). Transitioning to an affordable market for household flood insurance: The first Flood Re transition plan. Flood Re, London. February 2016. [Google Scholar]
Surminski, S., Jenkins, K. and Crick, F. (2015). London Case Study: Flood risk and climate change implications for MSPs. ENHANCE deliverable 7.4: Assessment of multi-sectoral partnerships. www.enhanceproject.eu. [Google Scholar]

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[1] Falconer, R. H., Cobby, D., Smyth, P., Astle, G., Dent, J., and Golding, B. (2009). Pluvial flooding: new approaches in flood warning, mapping and risk management. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2(3), 198–208. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

[2] Environment Agency. (2010). The costs of the summer 2007 floods in England. Environment Agency, Bristol. [Google Scholar]

[3] Pitt, M. (2008). Learning Lessons from the 2007 Floods, The Pitt Review. Cabinet Office, London. [Google Scholar]

[4] European Water Association. (2009). EWA Expert Meeting on Pluvial Flooding in Europe, Final Report. EWA, Brussels, Belgium. [Google Scholar]

[5] IPCC (Ed.). (2013). Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Vol. 1). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [Google Scholar]

[6] Ramsbottom, D., Sayers, P. and Panzeri, M. (2012). Climate Change Risk Assessment for the Floods and Coastal Erosion Sector. UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]

[7] Adaptation Sub-Committee. (2012). Climate Change -Is the UK preparing for flooding and water scarcity? Committee on Climate Change, London. [Google Scholar]

[8] Houston, D., Werritty, A., Bassett, D., Geddes, A., Hoolachan, A., and McMillan, M. (2011). Pluvial (rain-related) flooding in urban areas: the invisible hazard. Joseph Rowntree Foundation. [Google Scholar]

[9] Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J., and Crick, F. (2016). Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: an agent-based model approach. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper No.252; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper No.223. [Google Scholar]

[10] Surminski, S. and Eldridge, J. (2015). Flood insurance in England–an assessment of the current and newly proposed insurance scheme in the context of rising flood risk. Journal of Flood Risk Management. DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12127. [Google Scholar]

[11] Defra. (2013). Securing the future availability and affordability of home insurance in areas of flood risk. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]

[12] Greater London Authority. (2011). The London Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]

[13] Greater London Authority. (2014). Flood risks in London: Summary of findings. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]

[14] Wallingford., HR (2012). Development of spatial indicators to monitor changes in exposure and vulnerability to flooding and the uptake of adaptation actions to manage flood risk in England: Results 2012. HR Wallingford Ltd, Oxfordshire. [Google Scholar]

[15] Greater London Authority. (2015). London datastore http://data.london.gov.uk/. GLA, London. [Google Scholar]

[16] Drain London. (2011). Surface Water Management Plan: London Borough of Camden. Camden Council. [Google Scholar]

[17] van Dam, K.H., Nikolic, I. and Lukszo, Z. (2012). Agent-based modelling of socio-technical systems. Springer Netherlands, p. 268. [Google Scholar]

[18] Dubbelboer, J., Nikolic, I., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J. (2016). An Agent-Based Model of Flood Risk and Insurance. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, In Review. [Google Scholar]

[19] Hall, J.W., Dawson, R.J., Sayers, P.B., Rosu, C., Chatterton, J.B. and Deakin, R. (2003). A methodology for national-scale flood risk assessment. Water & Maritime Engineering 156, 235–247. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

[20] Dawson, R.J., Ball, T., Werritty, J., Werritty, A., Hall, J.W. and Roche, N. (2011). Assessing the effectiveness of non-structural flood management measures in the Thames Estuary under conditions of socio-economic and environmental change. Global Environmental Change 21, 628–646. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

[21] Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V. and Kilsby, C. (2016). A probabilistic analysis of surface water flood risk and management options in Greater London. Journal of Risk Analysis. In Review. [Google Scholar]

[22] Sayers, P.B., Horritt, M., Penning-Rowsell, E., and McKenzie, A. (2015). Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017: Projections of future flood risk in the UK. Research undertaken by Sayers and Partners on behalf of the Committee on Climate Change. Committee on Climate Change, London. [Google Scholar]

[23] Defra. (2011). Commencement of the Flood and Water Management Act 2010, Schedule 3 for Sustainable Drainage: Impact Assessment. Defra, London. [Google Scholar]

[24] Harries, T. (2012). The anticipated emotional consequences of adaptive behaviour -impacts on the take-up of household flood-protection measures. Environment and Planning A, 44(3), 649–668. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

[25] Filatova, T. (2015). Empirical agent-based land market: Integrating adaptive economic behavior in urban land-use models. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 54, 397–413. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

[26] Flood Re. (2016). Transitioning to an affordable market for household flood insurance: The first Flood Re transition plan. Flood Re, London. February 2016. [Google Scholar]

[27] Surminski, S., Jenkins, K. and Crick, F. (2015). London Case Study: Flood risk and climate change implications for MSPs. ENHANCE deliverable 7.4: Assessment of multi-sectoral partnerships. www.enhanceproject.eu. [Google Scholar]