| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 328, 2021
International Conference on Science and Technology (ICST 2021)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 06002 | |
| Number of page(s) | 5 | |
| Section | Mathematic Model, Learning Modelep, Epidemic Model | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202132806002 | |
| Published online | 06 December 2021 | |
Epidemic Model Analysis of Covid-19
1 Mathematics Department, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Surabaya, Indonesia
2 Faculty of Business, Study Program of Actuarial Science, President University, Cikarang, Bekasi, Indonesia
* Corresponding author : dayathidayat@unesa.ac.id
Covid-19 is a very extraordinary case not only in one country but all countries in the world. The number of deaths caused by Covid-19 is very large and the rate of spread of this disease is very high and fast. In this paper, we perform an analysis of a covid-19 epidemic model. This model is a development of the SEIR model in general which is equipped with a Quarantine (Q), Fatality (F) compartment, and there is a separation between detected and undetected infected people (I). Our analysis shows that there are two equilibria, namely, disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium. by using, Lyapunov function, we demonstrated that disease free is globally asymptotically stable if R0 < 1, and disease-free becomes unstable if R0 > 1. This result reveal that the intervention of infection rate and quarantine process are important to control and achieve global stability of disease-free equilibrium
Key words: Covid-19 / Epidemic Model / SEIR
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2021
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