| Issue |
E3S Web Conf.
Volume 202, 2020
The 5th International Conference on Energy, Environmental and Information System (ICENIS 2020)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 12008 | |
| Number of page(s) | 10 | |
| Section | Public Health and Epidemiology | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202020212008 | |
| Published online | 10 November 2020 | |
COVID-19 disease transmission model considering direct and indirect transmission
Department of Mathematics, Indonesia University, Depok 16424, Indonesia
* Corresponding author : aldiladipo@sci.ui.ac.id
A mathematical model for understanding the COVID-19 transmission mechanism proposed in this article considering two important factors: the path of transmission (direct-indirect) and human awareness. Mathematical model constructed using a four-dimensional ordinary differential equation. We find that the Covid-19 free state is locally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than one, and unstable otherwise. Unique endemic states occur when the basic reproduction number is larger than one. From sensitivity analysis on the basic reproduction number, we find that the media campaign succeeds in suppressing the endemicity of COVID-19. Some numerical experiments conducted to show the dynamic of our model respect to the variation of parameters value.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2020
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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